Thinking about the unthinkable, Part Four
I don’t know who will win today’s election in Massachusetts, but there are two things I’m confident of. First, if Brown wins, the Democrats will claim that the result is the product of “local considerations” and, in particular, a poor candidate. Second, this claim will be misleading at best.
When Bob McDonnell [...]
Thinking about the unthinkable
One crude way to think about the Massachusetts Senate race is to suppose that the swing from Democrat to Republican in this race is as great as the remarkable swing from 2008 to 2009 that just occurred in the Virginia governor’s race. Would this produce a victory for Republican Scott Brown?
The answer is: not [...]
A Shot Heard ‘Round the World?
Byron York reports that the “bottom has fallen out of” the Martha Coakley Senate campaign. In her own polling, she is now running, York, says, around five points behind. Both local and national Democrats are convinced that unless something dramatic shifts in the next four days, she will lose to Republican Scott Brown. [...]
The Scott Brown Surge
Sometime last week, the breathless e-mails started. The urgent
pleas to work the phone bank at Democratic National Committee
headquarters. The desperate cries for donations. The stern
warnings that any day now the sky just might fall.
Here’s a representative missive from MoveOn.org: “In 11 days, we
could [...]
Compare and Contrast
The Minneapolis Star Tribune has been campaigning against Congresswoman Michele Bachmann since she first entered public life, so it pains the paper to report that her re-election chances are looking bright:
Fifty-three percent of Bachmann’s constituents approve of the job she is doing and 41 percent disapprove.
Against DFL challengers, Bachmann leads Maureen Reed 53 to 37 [...]
Yes, Virginia, There Is a Sanity Clause
From the Washington Post — which seems to be edging ever so gingerly away from the One They Have Been Pining For:
Sensing that victory in the race for Virginia governor is slipping away, Democrats at the national level are laying the groundwork to blame a loss in a key swing state on a weak candidate [...]
