Feb 11 2010

2012 Watch: Palin’s Birthday Poll Numbers

February 11 is Sarah Palin's birthday. She turns 46 today. For a gift, she can look at this Gallup poll, which shows her in second place next to Mitt Romney, and within the margin of error, for GOP voters' choice to be the 2012 Republican nominee.
A note about the poll: The sample was small — [...]

Jan 27 2010

No Bye Week for Bayh

After Rep. Mike Pence (R-Ind.)
announced he would not run for Senate in 2010, the
conventional wisdom took hold: in a big blow to Republican
recruitment efforts, Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind.) was now safe. As
Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post put it, “With
Pence out, national [...]

Jan 18 2010

Thinking about the unthinkable, Part Three

According to Real Clear Politics, all four polls that have come out since the beginning of the weekend show Scott Brown leading Martha Coakley. The lead ranges from 3 points (ARG) to 10 points (PJM/CrossTarget). Not surprisingly, given these results, the betting money, as reflected by Intrade, now strongly favors Brown.
[...]

Dec 17 2009

Palin’s Gallup Number is Up

Gallup is out with a new poll showing a modest increase in Sarah Palin’s favorability rating, from 40 to 44 percent. That’s within the maximum margin of error, according to Gallup.
The Gallup results track with those of a recent CNN poll.
To compare, the public still views Obama more favorably than Palin. Obama’s personal rating always [...]

Oct 26 2009

NY-23: Hoffman Leads - Unless He Doesn’t

In the special election in New York’s 23rd district to replace Rep. John McHugh (RINO-NY, 40%), who just accepted Barack H. Obama’s appointment to be Secretary of the Army, a new poll for the first time finds Conservative Doug Hoffman winning with 31%; Democrat Bill Owens comes in second with 27%, while DIABLO (Democrat in [...]

Oct 19 2009

Pluck the Huck

A Friday Rasmussen survey finds former Arkansas Gov. Mike “Lose weight — ask me how!” Huckabee the frontrunner (barely) against former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin:

Choice among five candidates for 2012 GOP primary

Candidate
Percent support

Mike Huckabee
29%

Mitt Romney
24

Sarah Palin
18

Newt Gingrich
14

Undecided
7

Other candidate
6

Tim Pawlenty
4

A follow-up today shows that Palin runs a “distant second” in [...]

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