Dec 3 2009

Polanski Peel-Out Pool

I’m setting up a “betting” pool. Not with real money, of course; we have no way to force losers to pony up. This is just a fantasy-bet pool.

Pick how many days will elapse from Roman Polanski’s release under “house arrest” until he splits down the Alps — on the French side.

Choices range from “the same day he’s released” to “after one day“, “after two days“, etc., all the way to “won’t jump bail at all” (for the trusting types). Please post a comment picking some number of days after Polanski’s transfer to house arrest; whoever comes closest gets bragging rights and predictive prestige.

(Only one commenter per pick. All dates will be as reported in the Washington Examiner or the Washington Times; if the papers disagree on the date he was released or the date he runs, well then maybe two people get to win.

(And to make it fair for whoever picks “never,” that person wins if Polanski still hasn’t fled thirty days after the latest date picked by commenters: For example, assume the latest date picked is twenty days; then if fifty days [20 + 30] elapse without Polanski running, and assuming nobody else picks a later date in the meantime, then the “never” guy wins.)

I’ll get the ball on the road: I think Polanski will wait a while, making sure he has everything arranged before bolting and waiting for Swiss police attention to wane. So I’m picking 12… I say he runs twelve days after being transferred to his chalet in Gstaad.

Please link this post or e-mail the URL to your pals — the more the merrier!

Fire away…

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